Marin County

Q3 2024

Market Insider

MARIN'S SHIFTING REAL ESTATE LANDSCAPE: Reflecting on Marin County’s Q3 real estate market, one thing is crystal clear: the landscape is evolving rapidly, and having an expert in your corner is more crucial than ever. Let's dive into the numbers and unpack what they mean for buyers and sellers in our unique microcosm. ↓

The Big Picture:

A Market in Motion

Q3 brought a perfect storm of positive economic indicators: falling interest rates, a resilient stock market, and the lowest inflation in over three years. This combination of factors has injected new energy into our local market. 

At first glance, inventory might seem unchanged. With 310 homes for sale on the last day of the quarter, at first glance, there appears to be a modest 3.7% increase year-over-year. The interesting data point is that the number of homes in escrow surged by a whopping 20.2%, with sales increasing by 10.1%.  Overall in Marin, 39.7% of properties are selling over list price, down from 48.7% last year. This is an opportunity, if you know where to look for it.

What does this mean for you? Homes are moving faster! If you're a buyer, you need to be prepared to act decisively: understand your budget, engage an agent that can give you timely in depth analysis and due diligence on the property and community, be completely underwritten for a mortgage, have a sound offer strategy, and in this market, have your insurance agent on speed dial. If you're a seller, it's a prime time to leverage this increased activity with pricing strategy is more critical than ever.

According to the California Association of Realtors chief economist, Jordan Levine, “Although inventory is expected to loosen as rates ease, demand will also increase with lower mortgage rates and limited housing supply, which will push home prices higher next year. Assuming a healthy economy in 2025 that slows but doesn’t shrink, home prices should rise across California, with the state’s median price climbing 4.6 percent.” 

A modern, two-story house with a white exterior and a black roof.

Pricing: Stability Amidst Change

Marin's median sale price for single-family homes in Q3 held remarkably steady at $1,595,000, a negligible 0.3% dip from last year. Individual communities within Marin are telling their own unique stories. Check out these case studies in our communities: Corte Madera’s median price jumped 15% year-over-year! Greenbrae showed a whopping 66% increase. On the flip side, areas like Ross experienced a 38% decrease. These dramatic swings underscore the hyper-local nature of our market and the absolute necessity of granular, community-level expertise when making real estate decisions.

Marin's Micro-Markets

The Community Factor:

Marin's Micro-Markets

Marin isn't just one market – it's a tapestry of distinct communities, each with its own trends and style. Mill Valley saw a 10% increase in actual sales, while Tiburon experienced a 32% decrease in sales. Days on market varied wildly, from a robust 8 days in Greenbrae to a more leisurely 78 days in Ross.

These community-level variations aren't just statistics – they're opportunities. Capitalizing on these opportunities requires the ability to interpret these trends in the context of individual buyer and seller needs. 

As we head into the fall selling season, Marin's real estate market is filled with opportunity. Whether you're looking to buy your dream home, or investment, or maximize the return on your asset, having a dedicated local expert by your side isn't just an advantage – it's your secret weapon in this dynamic market.

Let's connect and put my deep local expertise and network to work for you. 

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